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The Second Recession: What It Will Feel Like

Last Friday, I presented you with my seven top reasons why we should be worried about the long-term prospects for U.S. economy. Today, I’m going to shorten the time frame and tell you why I expect we will fall back into a recession soon.

When the credit crisis first hit, there was a lot written in the newspapers and on Internet news sites on how we could be looking at a Great Depression Part II. There was also plenty of media comparisons to what was happening in the U.S. and what happened in Japan’s lost decade of the 1990s.

As the U.S. economy improved in 2009 and 2010 (albeit a turnaround for the economy, one can argue that it was superficially supported by the government’s bail-out actions and the Fed’s printing press) and the stock market moved higher, people forgot about the comparisons to the American economy of the 1930s and the Japanese economy of the 1990s.

Humans typically have a short-term mind set. Ask investors today if they remember 6,440 on the Dow Jones Industrial Average in March of 2009 and the majority will say no. Go a little further back and ask if they remember the days of 15% interest rates in the early 1980s or the energy crisis of the 1970s and they will only have slight recollections.

Source: Wall Street Pit

The Macro Economy Today by Bradley Schiller 211 | Dr. Sandra ...

by ReetsKeycle

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